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    請使用永久網址來引用或連結此文件: https://irlib.pccu.edu.tw/handle/987654321/29890


    題名: 示威是否會毀壞國家的經濟? 泰國股市之實證研究
    Have the Demonstrations Ruined the Country Economy: An Evidence fromThailand Stock Market Exchange (SET)
    作者: 李雯
    Tauvarodama, Benchawan
    貢獻者: 財務金融學系
    關鍵詞: Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET)
    EGARCH
    demonstrations
    political risk
    stock volatilities
    日期: 2015
    上傳時間: 2015-07-08 15:21:32 (UTC+8)
    摘要: Political risk is the important determinant for stock price in emerging country
    than in developed country, Diamonte et al, (1996). Thailand, one of the emerging
    markets in South East Asia, has been faced with the problem of political demonstrations
    for years. The political unrest has already hit tourism and related industries, shaken
    public confidence in major government-support project such as mass transit expansion
    as well as impact investor and consumer’s confidence. This research is devoted to
    examine whether the demonstration really caused negative impact to stock market, and
    which demonstrations impact to the stock market most. This study sample uses daily
    data from Stock Exchange of Thailand ranged from 2008 to 2015 covered three major
    political change groups by employing EGARCH model. From the empirical result, the
    first demonstration under group of People's Alliance for Democracy(PAD) caused
    negative return and increase volatilities to the market significantly a 1% level. The second
    demonstration (UDD) had no effect to the return but increased volatilities at 5% significant
    level. Last, the third demonstration (PDRC) had no effect to both market return and volatilities.
    顯示於類別:[財務金融學系 ] 博碩士論文

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