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    請使用永久網址來引用或連結此文件: https://irlib.pccu.edu.tw/handle/987654321/48786


    題名: Volatility Transmission from Equity, Bulk Shipping, and Commodity Markets to Oil ETF and Energy Fund-A GARCH-MIDAS Model
    作者: Lin, AJ (Lin, Arthur J.)
    Chang, HY (Chang, Hai-Yen)
    貢獻者: 財金系
    關鍵詞: oil industry
    oil ETF
    energy mutual fund
    volatility transmission
    contagion
    GARCH-MIDAS model
    China trade war
    commodities
    日期: 2020-09
    上傳時間: 2020-11-05 10:00:43 (UTC+8)
    摘要: Oil continues to be a major source of world energy, but oil prices and funds have experienced high volatility over the last decade. This study applies the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity-mixed-data sampling (GARCH-MIDAS) model on data spanning 1 July 2014 to 30 April 2020 to examine volatility transmission from the equity, bulk shipping, commodity, currency, and crude oil markets to the United States Oil Fund (USO) and BlackRock World Energy Fund A2 (BGF). By dividing the sample into two subsamples, we find a significant volatility transmission from the equity market to the oil ETF and energy fund both before and after the 2018 U.S.-China trade war. The volatility transmission from the bulk shipping, commodity, and crude oil markets turns significant for the oil ETF and energy fund after the 2018 U.S.-China trade war, extending into the COVID-19 pandemic in early 2020. The results suggest that investors can use the equity market to predict the movement of oil and energy funds during both tranquil and turmoil periods. Moreover, investors can use bulk shipping, commodity, and crude oil markets in addition to the equity market to forecast oil and energy funds' volatility during the turmoil periods. This paper benefits investors against the high volatility of the energy funds
    關聯: MATHEMATICS 卷冊: 8 期: 9 文獻號碼: 1534
    顯示於類別:[財務金融學系 ] 期刊論文

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