本計畫旨於探討「高齡社會下TOD發展脆弱度分析與建構優先補助改善地區之居住環境規劃模式」，係擬以三個年度研究內容，分別針對各項議題採以不同研究對象與方法進行一連串系統性研究。首先於第一年度(109年)將探討高齡社會下TOD發展窘境，以TOD規劃理念為基礎，結合脆弱度評估概念，分析大眾運輸系統面臨人口與社會變遷所造成的影響，以大台北地區都市環境作為案例研究對象，以專家供給為導向，並借鏡日本超高齡社會都市發展經驗，透過DNP動態網路程序法建構高齡社會下TOD脆弱度指標。繼而於第二年度(110年)以台北捷運117個場站為例，並以TOD區的建成環境作為研究範圍，應用所建立之高齡TOD脆弱度評估指標，係以民眾需求為導向，透過高齡者問卷調查方式，從高齡者的角度著手進行實證研究，以分析TOD區內脆弱度情況，藉由SEM結構方程模型分析，探索這些因素對於高齡者個體及整體建成環境的影響關係，並透過PFA優先補助區域之概念，針對117個場站既有環境進行強弱分級，完成評估117個TOD區之優先順序。最後於第三年度(111年)續以117個場站土地利用與居住環境作為案例研究，由於高齡化趨勢乃持續且穩定增長而非變動性，故透過HPL特徵價格法各種模式，分析TOD區內由於不同脆弱度與優先排序之房價變化，以及運用Grey-MOP灰色多目標數學規劃法，在既有資源設計目標式、限制式及情境分析等，建構出高齡友善TOD土地利用與居住環境規劃模式，以期台灣都市土地利用與居住環境可朝向高齡友善TOD模式發展。
This plan intends to carry out a series of systematic researches with three annual research contents and different research objects and methods for each topic. First, in the first year (109 years), the dilemma of TOD development in an elderly society will be discussed. Based on the concept of TOD planning and the concept of vulnerability assessment, the impact of population and social changes on the mass transportation system will be analyzed. The environment is a case study object. It is guided by the supply of experts and draws on the experience of urban development in Japan ’s ultra-aged society. Through the DNP dynamic network procedure method, it constructs the TOD vulnerability index in the aged society. Then in the second year (110 years), taking the Taipei MRT 117 stations as an example, and taking the built environment of the TOD area as the research scope, the established senior TOD vulnerability assessment indicators are applied, which are oriented to the needs of the people. Elderly people questionnaire survey method, from the perspective of elderly people to conduct empirical research to analyze the vulnerability in the TOD area, through SEM structural equation model analysis, explore the impact of these factors on the elderly and the overall built environment, and through The concept of PFA priority subsidy area is to classify the strength of the existing environment of 117 stations and complete the evaluation of the priority of 117 TOD areas. Finally, in the third year (111 years), the case study of land use and living environment of 117 stations was continued. As the ageing trend is continuous and stable growth instead of variability, various modes of HPL characteristic price method are used to analyze the TOD area. Changes in house prices due to different vulnerabilities and priorities, as well as the use of Grey-MOP grey multi-objective mathematical planning method to construct an age-friendly TOD land use and living environment planning based on existing resource design objective, restriction and situation analysis. It is hoped that Taiwan's urban land use and living environment can develop towards the age-friendly TOD model.
