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    請使用永久網址來引用或連結此文件: https://irlib.pccu.edu.tw/handle/987654321/41841


    題名: Decision Support System for Management Decision in High-Risk Business Environment
    作者: Hsu, MF (Hsu, Ming-Fu)
    Huang, CI (Huang, Chung-I)
    貢獻者: 會計學系暨研究所
    關鍵詞: FINANCIAL DISTRESS PREDICTION
    FEATURE-SELECTION METHOD
    BALANCED SCORECARD
    DISCRIMINANT-ANALYSIS
    VECTOR MACHINES
    CLASSIFICATION
    PERFORMANCE
    CLASSIFIERS
    GRAPH
    DEA
    日期: 2018-09
    上傳時間: 2019-01-16 15:41:47 (UTC+8)
    摘要: As a result of substantial variations in global financial markets, constructing an enterprise risk prewarning mechanism is essential. A vast amount of related studies have implemented monetary-related indicators to depict the full spectrum of an enterprise's operating performance. Merely considering monetary-related indicators is unable to produce an in-depth understanding of an enterprise. To fill this gap, the balanced scorecard (BSC), with the advantages of being able to capture both monetary and nonmonetary indicators, was introduced. Unfortunately, the BSC also has its own challenges, one of which is the lack of consideration given to risk exposure, which affects an enterprise's profit variation. Thus, this study extends the original BSC by considering risk exposure and introduces an artificial intelligence-based decision support system for management decision. The inherent decision logic embedded into neural network-based mechanisms is opaque and hard to comprehend by users. To handle the challenge, this study further incorporates fit theory with a knowledge visualization technique to handle the opaque nature of the model so as to decrease the cognitive load and mental burden. The empirical results show that the introduced model is a promising alternative for management decisions in highly fluctuating financial markets.
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