台灣能源消費與經濟成長之關係─多變量ARDL Bounds分析

文化大學機構典藏 CCUR > 社會科學院 > 經濟學系暨經濟學系碩博士班 > 博碩士論文 > Item 987654321/29976

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题名:	台灣能源消費與經濟成長之關係─多變量ARDL Bounds分析 Energy Consumption and Economic Growth Nexus in Taiwan:A Multivariate ARDL Bounds Testing Approach
作者:	蔡綾容 TSAI, LING-JUNG
贡献者:	經濟學系
关键词:	實質國內生產毛額能源消費 ARDL Bounds檢定 Toda and Yamamoto因果關係 Granger因果關係 real gross domestic product energy consumption ARDL Bounds test Toda and Yamamoto Causality Granger causality
日期:	2015-06
上传时间:	2015-07-29 15:43:23 (UTC+8)
摘要:	能源在經濟發展中扮演著重要角色，科技發展的結果以及機器設備的進步，使得經濟活動高度依賴能源，導致能源的耗竭速度更加快速，所以能源消耗的問題成為全球性的焦點。由於諸多文獻只採用能源消費與經濟成長這兩個變數進行因果分析，存在遺漏重要變數的計量缺失，所以本論文修正此問題，增加資本形成，並採用適用於小樣本的ARDL Bounds分析法以及Toda and Yamamoto因果檢定法，檢測能源消費與實質國內生產毛額之間的因果關係。研究結果顯示，能源消費對實質國內生產毛額呈現單向正影響的因果關係，即能源消耗量的多寡會影響經濟成長的發展。由此可知，台灣是個依賴能源的國家。 Energy plays an important role in economic development. The economy depends heavily on energy due to technology development and advances in machinery and equipment, which in turn could result in energy depletion. Hence, energy consumption has become a global focus. Since numerous studies use the bi-variable model to study the nexus between energy consumption and economic growth in Taiwan, their findings could be biased because of the problem of omission of important variables. Therefore, the study extends the bi-variate model and includes the third variable - capital formation. Additionally, ARDL Bounds analysis for small sample and Toda and Yamamoto causality test are applied to re-examine the nexus between energy consumption and economic growth in Taiwan. Results show that a positive unidirectional causality runs from energy consumption to real gross domestic product. That is, energy consumption in Taiwan affects economic growth.
显示于类别:	[經濟學系暨經濟學系碩博士班] 博碩士論文

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