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    题名: 三個拉美國家的能源消耗、經濟增長和福利之間的因果關係研究
    Causality Study of Energy Consumption, Economic Growth and Welfare in Three Latin American Countries
    作者: 沈丹尼
    Sanchez Loor, Daniel Alejandro
    贡献者: 國際企業管理學系
    关键词: energy consumption
    gross domestic product
    human development index
    foreign direct investment
    remittances
    Granger causality
    impulse-response functions
    日期: 2014
    上传时间: 2014-01-21 14:15:37 (UTC+8)
    摘要: This study examines the relationship between energy consumption (EC), gross domestic product (GDP), foreign direct investment (FDI), human development index (HDI) and remittances (RMTs) for Colombia, Ecuador and Mexico using annual data for the period 1980 to 2012. Time series techniques especially Granger causality test and impulse-response functions, are operated to test the causal relationships direction and its interaction sign. In Colombia, there are two unidirectional causalities running from HDI to EC and GDP to FDI generating a positive effect, and a bidirectional causality between HDI and RMTs reflecting an enhancing feedback in the long-term. In Ecuador, the presence of a unidirectional direct causality from EC to GDP and a negative impact from RMTs to GDP characterize for the long-term interaction. In Mexico, EC causes FDI in the short-term within a positive interaction, and FDI and HDI sustain short-term unidirectional causalities affecting RMTs positively exerted from FDI and negatively from HDI. After reviewing the results and the most successful experience in the region, the author suggests specific policies and programs to each country such as Venezuelan social programs, Costa Rican FDI policies, and Brazilian energy policies, among others.
    显示于类别:[企業管理學系暨國際企業管理研究所] 博碩士論文

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