對外投資決定因素之探討

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Title:	對外投資決定因素之探討
Authors:	林鑫垚
Contributors:	經濟學系
Keywords:	Probit模型 Probit Tobit模型 Tobit TEJ資料庫 TEJ data 外國直接投資 foreign direct investment 中國大陸 Mainland China
Date:	2012
Issue Date:	2012-11-20 11:58:22 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	本研究以2000~2010年台灣上市、上櫃、興櫃公司資料，分析企業是否赴中國投資及投資金額決策時之決定因素。　　Probit模型估計結果顯示，台灣上市、上櫃、興櫃公司的外銷比例、營收、及研究發展費用對是否投資中國有顯著的正影響，而固定資產則為負影響；產業別差異，以塑膠工業、水泥工業、橡膠工業赴中國投資的機率較高，而油電燃氣、觀光、建材營造赴中國投資的機率則較低。　　利用Tobit模型估計台灣上市、上櫃、興櫃公司投資中國之金額，估計結果顯示，外銷比例、營收、及固定資產對投資中國金額有顯著的正影響，研究發展費用則無顯著影響。產業方面則出現橡膠工業、水泥工業、塑膠工業有較高的投資金額，觀光、航運、建材營造、化學生技醫療則有較低的投資金額。 This study explores the determinants of Taiwan’s outward direct investment, particularly to Mainland China. The data comes from 2000-2010 Taiwan Economic Journal Dataset. 　　　　We employ Probit model and Tobit model to estimate the chance and magnitude of outward direct investment to Mainland China, respectively. The empirical results first show that companies with higher sales, R&D expenditures, and export ratio would be more likely to investment in Mainland China. Nevertheless, companies with more fixed assets would be less likely to invest in Mainland China. 　　　　Secondly, our study shows that sales, fixed assets, R&D expenditures, and export ratio all exhibit positively significant impacts on the magnitude of outward direct investment to Mainland China.
Appears in Collections:	[Department of Economics & Graduate Institute of Economics ] thesis

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