| 摘要: | 本研究主要透過時間序列研究方法來探討東南亞五國自1981-2010年之間經濟成長、能源消耗及外人直接投資三者之間的因果關係，運用單根檢定、共整合與Granger因果關係檢定。結果顯示印尼在GDP對能源消耗有單向因果關係；馬來西亞在外來直接投資對GDP存在單向因果關係；菲律賓在外來直接投資與GDP存在雙向因果關係；新加坡在GDP對能源消耗有單向因果關係，而在外來直接投資對GDP存在單向因果關係，外來直接投資與GDP有雙向因果關係；最後，泰國在能源消耗與GDP有雙向因果關係，外來直接投資對能源消耗有單向因果關係。研究結果建議當國政府應提高能源效率化，控管外來投資企業類型，不僅能達到保護環境，更能提高當國GDP成長。
This paper applies time series to investigate the casual relationship between GDP, energy consumption and foreign direct investment for Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand for the period from 1981 to 2010.Unit Root Test、Cointegration Test and Granger Causality Test are conducted in this study. The evidences indicate that, unidirectional Granger causality running from GDP to energy consumption for Indonesia, unidirectional Granger causality running from foreign direct investment to GDP for Malaysia, bidirectional Granger causality running from GDP to foreign direct investment for Philippines, for Singapore there are unidirectional Granger causality running from GDP to energy consumption, unidirectional Granger causality runs from foreign direct investment to GDP, and bidirectional Granger causality running from foreign direct investment to GDP. In addition, there are bidirectional Granger causality running from GDP to energy consumption, moreover find unidirectional Granger causality running from foreign direct investment to energy consumption for Thailand. Finally, the results show government should improve energy efficiency, control the type of foreign direct enterprises, not only environmental protection but also raise GDP. |
