台灣生育相關人口政策之有效性評估－以介入模式分析

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Title:	台灣生育相關人口政策之有效性評估－以介入模式分析
Authors:	賴素鈴鄧旭茹
Contributors:	商學院
Keywords:	總生育率介入模式人口政策之成效生育獎勵政策
Date:	2007-12
Issue Date:	2012-08-07 10:15:40 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	生育相關人口政策對於一國人力資源應用以及經濟發展有相當重要之影響，檢視前人文獻，發現研究方法多以問卷調查、敘述性統計以及探究單一可能人口政策誘因之因果關係等方法來探究生育相關人口政策對於生育率之成效，然上述作法無法有效檢視政策之有效性。職是之故，本研究將以介入模式排除生育率不規則波動，直接檢視台灣生育相關人口政策政策執行期間所有政策總和成效之有效性。研究結果顯示政府在西元1964年、西元1983年以及西元1992年所推行抑制或提升台灣生育率之政策，並無顯著之成效。本研究亦提出相關因應對策，以提供相關單位參考。 A national demographic policy would have important influence on the application of human resource and economic development of a nation. The previous studies adopted qualitative, descriptive-intuitive, and econometric approach to investigate the effectiveness. However, those approaches could not exactly examine the effectiveness of policy. Therefore, this study provides the intervention model to directly examine the effects of pronatalist or denatalist policies on fertility. The results states that the demographic policies presented in 1964, 1983 and 1992 do not have any significant effect on diminishing or increasing fertility. This study also provides suggestions for the related policies to boost the fertility.
Relation:	文大商管學報 (12卷2期) ：p19 -38
Appears in Collections:	[College of Business Administration] Business Review

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