文化大學機構典藏 CCUR:Item 987654321/19998
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    jsp.display-item.identifier=請使用永久網址來引用或連結此文件: https://irlib.pccu.edu.tw/handle/987654321/19998


    题名: 加入WTO對台灣進出口貿易的影響
    作者: 許靖愷
    贡献者: 經濟學系
    关键词: WTO
    國際貿易組織
    differences-in-differences
    引力模型
    價格彈性
    日期: 2010
    上传时间: 2011-10-27 15:50:05 (UTC+8)
    摘要: 台灣於2002年1月1日起正式加入國際貿易組織─WTO，在WTO裡會員國之間貿易皆可享有會員國之優惠與保障。但在加入WTO之後，並非所有產業皆受益，勢必會有產業受到衝擊。當初在加入WTO前政府許下承諾：農業名目關稅由20.02％降至12.90％、製造業名目稅率由6.03％降至4.15％。因此撤掉關稅保護傘的產業勢必會受到衝擊。

    本文主要研究我國在加入WTO之前後對於製造業的影響，什麼產業會是受益最多的，什麼產業有是受衝擊最大的。透過台灣與全球貿易之資料研究發現，加入WTO後受衝擊最大的產業為紡織業，所以用紡織業分析加入WTO之後對於台灣產業的衝擊。

    接著使用differences-in-differences去了解這兩個產業，實驗組使用同為加入WTO的會員國中國大陸、日本、韓國、美國，對照組使用與越南貿易資料。接著使用引力模型做分析計算出這紡織業的進出口價格彈性。在紡織業進口價格彈性與出口價格彈性皆在加入WTO之後價格彈性變小。其分析結果所做出來GDP與距離對於進出口價值影響也如預期一般，GDP成正向關係，距離成反向關係。

    Taiwan had officially joined the World Trade Organization, also called WTO, on January 1st 2002. The member of the WTO can get the benefit and guarantee from the country which is in the membership. However, there are a few industry will definitely facing the shocking crash. Before Taiwan had joined WTO, the government had promised that the tariffs of agriculture will cut down from 20.02% to 12.90%, the rate of manufacturing will fell from 6.03% to 4.15%. Therefore, removing the tariffs protection, the industry is bound to be affected.

    This paper is exploring the impact on Taiwan manufacturing since joined the WTO, and discover the most benefit industries and the. Through the data of Taiwan and the global trade, the study found that after joining the WTO, the most laborious industries is textiles. Therefore, the paper will analysis the impact of Taiwan textile after joining the WTO.

    The paper takes differences-in-differences in use to understand the textile industry. The experimental group uses the data of the member of the WTO, such as China, Japan, South Korea, the United States. Vietnam's trade data is used as the control group. The next step is using the gravity model to analyze and calculate the price elasticity of import and export of textile industry. The study found that the elasticity of the price from imports and exports has reduces after Taiwan joined the WTO. The impact of GDP export value is as expected; GDP is a positive relationship while distance is a reverse relationship.
    显示于类别:[經濟學系暨經濟學系碩博士班] 博碩士論文

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