在全球環境變遷人文面向研究(IHDP)與土地利用/覆蓋變遷(LUCC)組織的提倡，以及地理資訊系統(GIS)技術的進步下，各種空間模擬技術被快速發展為探討氣候變遷(climate change)與地景變遷之間的關聯性。因此，近年來地景變遷與社經代謝作用(socio-economic metabolism)之探討逐漸受到重視，其中，地景變遷與溫室氣體排放及吸存在全球氣候減緩(mitigation)的探討上，亦逐漸成為待釐清之重要議題。因此，本研究以近年來快速發展的台北縣淡水鎮為研究對象，以空間系統模擬(spatial system simulation)方法建構「淡水鎮地景變遷模型」，探討各種發展情境(scenarios)下淡水鎮地景變遷、資源消耗、二氧化碳排放與吸存在空間型態上之相互影響關係。本研究中，主要發現淡水鎮都市地區之發展，不僅驅動了地景變遷以及各種能量與物質的消耗，亦主導了二氧化碳排放與吸存之空間型態差異，而淡水鎮自然地區受到人為開發的入侵，則破壞了其二氧化碳吸存之能力。
After International Human Dimensions Programme on Global Environmental Change (IHDP) and Land Use and Cover Change (LUCC) organization encourage researchers to explore the connection between socio-economic metabolism and landscape change, this field is noticed. However, current research concentrates on using indices or statistic methods to analyze macroscopic relation between socio-economic metabolism and landscape change. Among, the research of landscape change and greenhouse gas emission and absorption in global climate mitigation become the important topic waited to distinguish. Therefore, the research regards fast-developing of Dan-sui town of Taipei in recent years as the research object. The Dan-sui landscape change model, based on spatial system simulation, for probe into develop of various scenario of Dan-sui of Taipei landscape change about landscape change, resources are consumed, the carbon dioxide emission and sequestration, interrelation on spatial pattern. Research this find Dan-sui Metropolitan Region after in develop, not only to accelerate landscape change, consumption of different of energy and masteries but leading spatial pattern of different on carbon dioxide emission and sequestration. And then, the natural area in Dan-sui town loses ability of carbon dioxide absorption because it is invading artificial to develop.
